Post-Close
Post-Close Briefing — 2026-05-28
May 28, 2026Post-Close Briefing — 2026-05-28
Market Regime
QQQ $730.28 — +13.3% vs SMA50 ($644.84) · Risk On ✅
Portfolio
| Strategy | Value | Return | DD | Positions | Cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Pool | $1,947,942 | +1847.9% | -2.0% | 20 | 0% |
| V5.3 | $1,232,993 | +1133.0% | -0.0% | 17 | 0% |
Today's Trades
No trades today.
Breakout Signals
No breakout signals today.
_Section section_options_radar unavailable.
Open Positions
| Ticker | Entry | Current | Gain% | Strategy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 000660.KS | $611.02 | $1497.56 | +145.1% | 4-Pool |
| 0981.HK | $8.21 | $10.85 | +32.2% | 4-Pool |
| 1347.HK | $12.06 | $18.47 | +53.1% | 4-Pool |
| 2513.HK | $102.10 | $172.88 | +69.3% | 4-Pool |
| APLD | $32.19 | $45.14 | +40.2% | 4-Pool |
| APP | $433.51 | $514.24 | +18.6% | 4-Pool |
| AVGO | $402.17 | $422.01 | +4.9% | 4-Pool |
| CIEN | $67.36 | $602.39 | +794.3% | 4-Pool |
| CIFR | $15.42 | $23.02 | +49.3% | 4-Pool |
| GFS | $47.80 | $89.96 | +88.2% | 4-Pool |
| LITE | $62.86 | $910.81 | +1349.0% | 4-Pool |
| LRCX | $246.49 | $322.68 | +30.9% | 4-Pool |
| MDB | $264.69 | $307.35 | +16.1% | 4-Pool |
| MP | $57.36 | $66.99 | +16.8% | 4-Pool |
| MU | $465.66 | $895.88 | +92.4% | 4-Pool |
| NOK | $11.30 | $16.46 | +45.7% | 4-Pool |
| PWR | $317.65 | $742.18 | +133.6% | 4-Pool |
| TER | $107.65 | $389.14 | +261.5% | 4-Pool |
| TSM | $365.90 | $412.32 | +12.7% | 4-Pool |
| WULF | $18.05 | $25.18 | +39.5% | 4-Pool |
| 000660.KS | $611.02 | $1497.56 | +145.1% | V5.3 |
| 005930.KS | $138.98 | $218.25 | +57.0% | V5.3 |
| 0981.HK | $8.21 | $10.85 | +32.2% | V5.3 |
| 9888.HK | $15.68 | $16.45 | +4.9% | V5.3 |
| ASML | $1421.05 | $1632.03 | +14.8% | V5.3 |
| CIEN | $67.36 | $602.39 | +794.3% | V5.3 |
| CIFR | $15.42 | $23.02 | +49.3% | V5.3 |
| CRDO | $119.59 | $221.64 | +85.3% | V5.3 |
| ETN | $400.44 | $403.13 | +0.7% | V5.3 |
| FCX | $49.15 | $64.36 | +30.9% | V5.3 |
| GFS | $47.80 | $89.96 | +88.2% | V5.3 |
| GOOGL | $317.24 | $388.88 | +22.6% | V5.3 |
| LRCX | $246.49 | $322.68 | +30.9% | V5.3 |
| MDB | $264.69 | $307.35 | +16.1% | V5.3 |
| PWR | $317.65 | $742.18 | +133.6% | V5.3 |
| QCOM | $156.00 | $248.82 | +59.5% | V5.3 |
| TSM | $365.90 | $412.32 | +12.7% | V5.3 |
X Alpha — Analyst Chatter
## 1. MACRO & THEMATIC OVERVIEW
AI infrastructure bottlenecks (lasers/optics) and power equipment demand are the clearest cross-analyst signals. AAOI is positioned as a potential direct supplier to NVDA/AMD via long-term laser agreements, while HPS.A captures downstream transformer/backlog exposure. Memory semis (SK Hynix/Samsung via EWY) are seeing asset appreciation that is lifting optionality. European short interest in domestic tech ($SOI) is noted as a persistent sentiment overhang that has not prevented 340%+ moves, suggesting a transatlantic capital flow into high-growth hardware names.
## 2. HIGH-CONVICTION IDEAS
$AAOI — Laser supply agreements with hyperscalers at $13B MC
- Who: @aleabitoreddit (optics/AI supply chain focus)
- Thesis: Analyst remains more bullish at $13B market cap than at prior $2B/$6B levels due to persistent laser bottlenecks; markets appear to have missed notes on potential multi-year supply deals with NVDA or AMD.
- Key data: $471M revenue projected for H1 2027; $600m ATM filed.
- Valuation: Current $13B market cap vs. earlier entry points at $2B/$6B.
- Catalyst: Execution of long-term NVDA/AMD supply contracts; H1 2027 revenue ramp.
- Engagement: [797L 58RT 1QT = 916]
- Contrarian?: Against recent ATM-related selling pressure.
- Cross-references: None in batch.
$SOI — European shorts ignoring domestic compounder trajectory
- Who: @aleabitoreddit (European tech coverage)
- Thesis: Local media and traditional analysts repeatedly labeled the name overvalued/speculative at €44; stock has since risen >340% while EU investors continue to short.
- Key data: +340% move post-negative coverage; current price trajectory from €44 base.
- Valuation: Not quantified; emphasis on ownership shift from EU locals to US institutions.
- Catalyst: Continued US institutional accumulation and gap closure vs. fundamentals.
- Engagement: [506L 19RT 3QT = 553] + follow-ups
- Contrarian?: Explicitly against European consensus.
- Cross-references: None.
$EWY — Memory asset appreciation driving 2028 LEAPs
- Who: @aleabitoreddit (semiconductor/memory exposure)
- Thesis: 2028 LEAPs have delivered 428%+ gains (5.2x ROI in 3 months) as IV expanded alongside appreciation in SK Hynix and Samsung memory holdings.
- Key data: +428% on 2028 LEAPs; 3-month holding period.
- Valuation: Not stated; focus on underlying memory asset uplift.
- Catalyst: Continued memory cycle strength into 2028.
- Engagement: [481L 14RT 1QT = 512]
- Contrarian?: With the memory up-cycle.
- Cross-references: None.
$HPS.A — High-visibility transformer backlog compounder
- Who: @aleabitoreddit (industrial/power infrastructure)
- Thesis: Transformers “in the Sky” +83.3% since entry; dry-type transformer demand visibility remains elevated with solid backlog and high market share.
- Key data: +83.3% move; 2M timeframe referenced.
- Valuation: Not stated; characterized as non-parabolic compounder.
- Catalyst: Sustained power equipment demand visibility.
- Engagement: [261L 17RT 2QT = 301]
- Contrarian?: With infrastructure spending trend.
- Cross-references: None.
## 3. SUPPLY CHAIN & SECTOR MAP
- AAOI (lasers/optics) → potential direct supplier to NVDA/AMD for AI cluster build-out.
- EWY exposure → SK Hynix & Samsung memory assets (no direct overlap with AAOI noted).
- HPS.A (transformers) sits downstream of AI power draw but no shared suppliers/customers flagged with AAOI or EWY.
## 4. RISK & CATALYST WATCH
- AAOI: $600m ATM execution risk vs. long-term NVDA/AMD agreement catalyst (no date given).
- No earnings dates or regulatory events flagged in batch.
## 5. SIGNAL TABLE
| Ticker | Handle | Direction | Signal Type | Engagement | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAOI | @aleabitoreddit | bullish | catalyst | 916 | $471M H1 2027 rev; potential NVDA/AMD laser LTAs at $13B MC |
| SOI | @aleabitoreddit | bullish | confirmation | 553 | +340% post-EU shorting; US institutions accumulating |
| EWY | @aleabitoreddit | bullish | inflection | 512 | 2028 LEAPs +428% (5.2x) on SK Hynix/Samsung memory appreciation |
| HPS.A | @aleabitoreddit | bullish | early_trend | 301 | +83.3% on transformer backlog & high dry-type share |
No posts found from the other 9 handles in the last 24 hours.
Macro / Fiscal Policy / Debt Sustainability
- @dampedspring: "Spending including Medicare and social security by 3%. No chance. So off we go into a world where inflation or economic contraction will be paid for by future generations while the rest of us eat what we can while the goings good."
- @dampedspring: "Many ways It is a necessary as well as half the country wants to tax wealthy. Of course we don't get that done either. So the uniparty tricks its constituents and the deficit grows. I like Warren Buffets solution. Increase all revenues (taxes) by 3% and decrease all"
- @dampedspring: "I don't see a way to change this. No party represents me. My desire is to start taking the pain. That means lowering the deficit radically. While cutting spending appeals to many it never actually gets cut even by republicans. While increase taxes is abhorrent to me in"
- @dampedspring: "The two political parties like to paint different cohorts as villains but they are a uniparty in protecting the older cohorts who vote reliably and are split down the middle politically. The uniparty protects them and the corporations who fund our political system."
- @dampedspring: "The alternative is inflation which will have exactly the same impact. How it's distributed between similar age cohorts is a policy choice by governments but the only certainty is the olds will be dead and the youth will be experiencing the decline in their standard of living."
- @dampedspring: "All the expansionary stuff mentioned above will contract. Corporations will earn less, wages will be less, taxes will be higher, entitlements will shrink. All of this will lead to a decline in the rate of standard of living increase or an actual decline in standard of living."
- @dampedspring: "What's the big deal? Well one way or the other the 'debt' will be repaid. What do I mean. Well at some point debt growth above gdp growth will no longer be sustainable and either inflation will 'solve' the problem or debt growth will fall below GDP. If the latter happens"
- @dampedspring: "This debt bonanza has created a wealth gap heavily tilted toward age. While generations tell themselves the younger generations are lazier or stupider or of lower character they ignore the facts that their 'success' was built on debt."
- @dampedspring: "May have been middle class or lower middle class or even poor. While much is said about the wealth gap very little is said about the age gap. Those living 4 -5 decades in the workforce and entitlement benefits environment during have accrued far better standards of living due"
- @dampedspring: "Those who have benefited the most are those who owned companies or assets as all this income funded by government debt resulted in higher asset values from higher earnings and rents paid on those assets. But older people also benefitted from accumulating wages even though they"
### Drone & Defense Tech
- @fundmyfund: $RCAT $ONDS $UMAC
Former CIA chief Petraeus says drone swarms are the next danger — and growth opportunity https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/28/petraeus-unmanned-systems-autonomous-drones-defense-investment.html?__source=sharebar|twitter&par=sharebar
- @fundmyfund: $UMAC
They win no matter who wins
Gauntlet I was a bunch of companies almost no one expect
$UMAC is a supplier to at least 6 of those 11
So whomever wins they will have to go to $UMAC or a select few private companies which $UMAC is quickly dwarfing in size
### Tech Ownership / Institutional Moves
- @fundmyfund: Sir Leopold has spoken $NBIS +12% in AH
(quoting Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness LP disclosure of 5.6% stake in Nebius $NBIS)
No substantive posts from @owlwealthy, @raisingthebar47, @rjccapital, @rocksover, @springofarete, or @stockguru in the last 24 hours.
Advanced Packaging
- @lithos_graphein: Semi is saying glass core substrates for adv. packaging have a 70% CAGR over the next decade. Wild.
AI Infrastructure / GPU Kernels
- @SemiAnalysis_: GPUs are leaving performance on the table. Closing the gap between theoretical peak and real-world throughput is nearly impossible when hand-tuning CUDA kernels at scale. So why are hand-written CUDA kernels losing to auto-generated ones? Mohamed Abdelfattah at Makora has a solution:
No posts found from: @teddyokuyama, @teslafan, @twaddle_inc, @wey_how12640, @xiaomucrypto in the last 24 hours.
AI Data Center Power Infrastructure & NIMBY Risks
- @TheValueist: "$GEV (Bloomberg) -- GE Vernova Inc. shares fell as much as 5% after Chief Executive Officer Scott Strazik was cautious at a Bernstein conference about the prospects for data center and wind energy projects. •On data centers, “you’re seeing more and more states that are certainly pushing back. And we do have customers that are struggling to get projects across the line,” Strazik said at the conference ◦“But at the same time, with pretty much every customer we’re working with, we look at the scatter plot of all the potential projects versus the realization rate they’re planning and the equipment they’re planning or have already secured from us, and we don’t see any risk in the fulfillment of our backlog from those dynamics” •In wind, “the pipeline is very significant, but it’s very hard to convert the wind pipeline to orders while there’s a lot of economic uncertainty on things like tariffs,” Strazik said ◦Sees 1500 wind turbines shipments in 2026, “but I don’t think you can project or expect those orders until there’s clarity on tariffs in the US” ◦Other wind stocks also fell on Wednesday: Vestas ADRs -7.5%, Siemens Energy ADRs -4.3%, NextEra Energy -0.6%". Reiterates prior April 2026 $GEV thesis. Also: "$NVDA $MU $SNDK $LITE $GEV Watch this video I previously shared if you haven’t already. The new build data center NIMBY momentum is gaining speed. This does a good job at providing a reasonable and measured explanation why." (links Karen Hao video on AI workers). Agrees: "TX is wide open and welcoming. When places like Cleveland reject new build data center projects that many consider win/win you have to wonder what their politicians’ objectives truly are."
Pre-Earnings Position Management
- @TheValueist: "As I’ve aged (and hopefully matured), I’m now more willing to cut a name pre-print if I lack strong conviction before going into the announcement. In the past, I often put my head down, guns blazing and let the chips fall where they may. These days, my priority isn’t always protecting profit (though that’s a nice bonus), but rather safeguarding my mental and emotional well-being from the stress of managing the fallout afterward. I'm curious if there is an statisticly significant research around this topic… There is always another trade." (references $P earnings beat, raised guidance, shares -6.4% extended).
Software & AI Productivity / IT Services Impact (Snowflake Earnings Read-Throughs)
- @TheValueist: New detailed thesis on SNOW Q1 call. "AI-ASSISTED MIGRATIONS AND CODING AGENTS ARE A STRUCTURAL NEGATIVE FOR LABOR-INTENSIVE IT SERVICES MODELS (READ-THROUGH 8) Affected companies: Accenture (ACN: US), negative, medium magnitude; Cognizant (CTSH: US), negative, medium magnitude; Infosys (INFY: India), negative, medium-to-high magnitude; Tata Consultancy Services (TCS: India), negative, medium-to-high magnitude; Wipro (WIPRO: India), negative, medium magnitude; HCLTech (HCLTECH: India), negative, medium magnitude; EPAM Systems (EPAM: US), negative, medium magnitude." Cites Ramaswamy on partners "switching their entire business models from charging for time and material to being able to charge for outcomes" and COCO driving "more than 25% faster support case resolution, 25% higher throughput per engineer, nearly 30% lower complex case resolution time, roughly 40% lower engineering time spent per ticket, and doubled developer productivity". Also: "SOFTWARE OPERATING MODELS CAN EXPAND MARGINS THROUGH INTERNAL AI, BUT AI GROSS MARGIN DILUTION WILL CREATE A NEW QUALITY SPREAD AMONG SOFTWARE COMPANIES (READ-THROUGH 12) Affected companies: Snowflake (SNOW: US), positive, high magnitude; Salesforce (CRM: US), positive, medium magnitude if internal AI productivity scales; ServiceNow (NOW: US), positive, medium magnitude; Adobe (ADBE: US), mixed-to-positive, medium magnitude; Datadog (DDOG: US), mixed-to-positive, low-to-medium magnitude; MongoDB (MDB: US), mixed-to-positive, low-to-medium magnitude." Notes SNOW added only 17 organic employees, non-GAAP op margin +300 bps YoY to 12%, raised FY guidance to 13.5%; AI products have "lower gross margins than the core platform".
Enterprise Software, Data Monetization & Agentic Workflows (Snowflake Earnings Read-Throughs)
- @TheValueist: "AGENTIC WORKFLOW CONTROL RISKS ABSTRACTING SAAS USER INTERFACES INTO BACK-END ACTION ENDPOINTS (READ-THROUGH 9) Affected companies: Atlassian (TEAM: US), mixed-to-negative, medium magnitude over the long term; Salesforce (CRM: US), mixed-to-negative, medium magnitude through Slack and application UI exposure; Microsoft (MSFT: US), mixed, low-to-medium magnitude through Microsoft 365/Teams/Outlook but offset by AI infrastructure exposure; ServiceNow (NOW: US), mixed-to-negative, low-to-medium magnitude; Asana (ASAN: US), negative, low-to-medium magnitude; Snowflake (SNOW: US), positive, medium magnitude." Cites Natoma enabling actions "without ever leaving Snowflake Intelligence or COCO". "ENTERPRISE APPLICATION DATA BECOMES MORE VALUABLE WHEN EXPOSED TO GOVERNED AI, SUPPORTING SAP’S DATA STRATEGY (READ-THROUGH 10) Affected companies: SAP (SAP: Germany), positive, medium magnitude; Snowflake (SNOW: US), positive, medium magnitude; Oracle (ORCL: US), mixed... Workday (WDAY: US), positive, low-to-medium magnitude". "DATA-RICH INFORMATION SERVICES COMPANIES HAVE A POSITIVE AI MONETIZATION READ-THROUGH... Affected companies: Thomson Reuters (TRI: Canada), positive, medium magnitude; RELX (REL: UK), positive, medium magnitude; S&P Global (SPGI: US), positive, low-to-medium magnitude; Moody’s (MCO: US), positive, low-to-medium magnitude; FactSet Research Systems (FDS: US), positive, low-to-medium magnitude; Wolters Kluwer (WKL: Netherlands), positive, medium magnitude." Cites TRI using "Snowflake Cortex, including COCO to power AI-driven legal and compliance workflows".
Government Contracts
- @TheValueist: "$DELL (Dow Jones) -- Dell Technologies received a $9.69 billion contract from the Pentagon. The award is a firm-fixed-price blanket purchase agreement to streamline and consolidate software acquisition across the Pentagon, intelligence community and Coast Guard."
Signal Book
| Ticker | Direction | Source | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|
| DELL | Long | @thevalueist | Awarded $9.69B Pentagon firm-fixed-price software BPA |
| FDS | Long | @thevalueist | Data-rich information services positive AI monetization read-through |
| MCO | Long | @thevalueist | Data-rich information services positive AI monetization read-through |
| SPGI | Long | @thevalueist | Data-rich information services positive AI monetization read-through |
| REL | Long | @thevalueist | Data-rich information services positive AI monetization read-through |
| TRI | Long | @thevalueist | Using Snowflake Cortex/COCO for AI legal/compliance workflows |
| WDAY | Long | @thevalueist | Enterprise data more valuable when exposed to governed AI |
| ORCL | Long | @thevalueist | Enterprise data more valuable when exposed to governed AI |
| SNOW | Long | @thevalueist | Enterprise data more valuable when exposed to governed AI |
| SAP | Long | @thevalueist | Enterprise data more valuable when exposed to governed AI |
| SNOW | Long | @thevalueist | Agentic workflow control benefits Snowflake Intelligence/Cortex |
| ASAN | Short | @thevalueist | Agentic workflows risk abstracting SaaS UIs |
| NOW | Short | @thevalueist | Agentic workflows risk abstracting SaaS UIs |
| CRM | Short | @thevalueist | Agentic workflows risk abstracting SaaS UIs via Slack/Apps |
| TEAM | Short | @thevalueist | Agentic workflows risk abstracting SaaS UIs into back-end endpoints (long-term) |
Top Movers
No mover data.