Post-Close
Post-Close Briefing — 2026-05-26
May 26, 2026Post-Close Briefing — 2026-05-26
Market Regime
QQQ $717.54 — +11.7% vs SMA50 ($642.10) · Risk On ✅
Portfolio
| Strategy | Value | Return | DD | Positions | Cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Pool | $1,947,942 | +1847.9% | -2.0% | 20 | 0% |
| V5.3 | $1,195,755 | +1095.8% | -1.2% | 18 | 0% |
Today's Trades
No trades today.
Breakout Signals
No breakout signals today.
_Section section_options_radar unavailable.
Open Positions
| Ticker | Entry | Current | Gain% | Strategy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 000660.KS | $611.02 | $1416.79 | +131.9% | 4-Pool |
| 0981.HK | $8.21 | $10.26 | +25.1% | 4-Pool |
| 1347.HK | $12.06 | $16.72 | +38.6% | 4-Pool |
| 2513.HK | $102.10 | $164.78 | +61.4% | 4-Pool |
| APLD | $32.19 | $45.87 | +42.5% | 4-Pool |
| APP | $433.51 | $481.68 | +11.1% | 4-Pool |
| AVGO | $402.17 | $414.14 | +3.0% | 4-Pool |
| CIEN | $67.36 | $583.74 | +766.6% | 4-Pool |
| CIFR | $15.42 | $21.97 | +42.5% | 4-Pool |
| GFS | $47.80 | $85.64 | +79.2% | 4-Pool |
| LITE | $62.86 | $946.90 | +1406.4% | 4-Pool |
| LRCX | $246.49 | $305.35 | +23.9% | 4-Pool |
| MDB | $264.69 | $326.13 | +23.2% | 4-Pool |
| MP | $57.36 | $64.46 | +12.4% | 4-Pool |
| MU | $465.66 | $751.00 | +61.3% | 4-Pool |
| NOK | $11.30 | $15.47 | +36.9% | 4-Pool |
| PWR | $317.65 | $723.44 | +127.7% | 4-Pool |
| TER | $107.65 | $358.44 | +233.0% | 4-Pool |
| TSM | $365.90 | $404.52 | +10.6% | 4-Pool |
| WULF | $18.05 | $22.82 | +26.4% | 4-Pool |
| 000660.KS | $611.02 | $1416.79 | +131.9% | V5.3 |
| 005930.KS | $138.98 | $213.50 | +53.6% | V5.3 |
| 0981.HK | $8.21 | $10.26 | +25.1% | V5.3 |
| 9888.HK | $15.68 | $16.48 | +5.1% | V5.3 |
| ASML | $1421.05 | $1632.90 | +14.9% | V5.3 |
| CIEN | $67.36 | $583.74 | +766.6% | V5.3 |
| CIFR | $15.42 | $21.97 | +42.5% | V5.3 |
| CRDO | $119.59 | $218.41 | +82.6% | V5.3 |
| ETN | $400.44 | $391.35 | -2.3% | V5.3 |
| FCX | $49.15 | $61.99 | +26.1% | V5.3 |
| GFS | $47.80 | $85.64 | +79.2% | V5.3 |
| GOOGL | $317.24 | $382.97 | +20.7% | V5.3 |
| LRCX | $246.49 | $305.35 | +23.9% | V5.3 |
| MDB | $264.69 | $326.13 | +23.2% | V5.3 |
| PWR | $317.65 | $723.44 | +127.7% | V5.3 |
| QCOM | $156.00 | $238.16 | +52.7% | V5.3 |
| SHLS | $9.28 | $9.91 | +6.8% | V5.3 |
| TSM | $365.90 | $404.52 | +10.6% | V5.3 |
X Alpha — Analyst Chatter
1. MACRO & THEMATIC OVERVIEW
AI-driven structural memory demand is the dominant theme. Two independent analysts flag Micron’s $1 T market-cap milestone as confirmation that memory LTAs are locking in volume and creating FOMO among investors who exited early. Geopolitical supply-chain shifts (Sweden transferring $SIVE control to the West) appear in the same session, suggesting Western re-shoring of specialty substrates that could benefit InP/compound names already tied to AI infrastructure.
2. HIGH-CONVICTION IDEAS
$MU — $1 T market-cap milestone validates structural AI memory demand
- Who: @aleabitoreddit & @jukan05 (memory-cycle specialists)
- Thesis: Long-term agreements are removing supply from the spot market; non-LTA buyers now face scarcity, driving pricing power. @jukan05 explicitly links this to “boomer FOMO.”
- Key data: Market cap reached $1 T; stock moved from $80 to $887.
- Valuation: Implied ~$1 T equity value at current price.
- Catalyst: Continued AI accelerator ramp and LTA renewals (no date given).
- Engagement: [542 L 27 RT 0 QT] + [1337 L 69 RT 8 QT] = high.
- Contrarian?: With the crowd on the re-rating, but against prior sell-side caution on memory cyclicality.
- Cross-references: None in batch.
$VPG — 3× since original thesis; ASP revision materially under-estimated
- Who: @aleabitoreddit
- Thesis: Management guided ~$750 midpoint ASP in mass production vs. original $150 assumption; $TSLA design-out risk prompted position sizing down but did not derail the move.
- Key data: Stock tripled; ASP midpoint $750.
- Valuation: No current multiple stated.
- Catalyst: Production ramp confirmation.
- Engagement: [523 L 31 RT 3 QT].
- Contrarian?: Thesis was early; market is now catching up.
$AXTI — Multi-thousand-percent move after WSB ban narrative
- Who: @aleabitoreddit
- Thesis: Stock has already delivered thousands of percent gains; the WSB ban story is framed as a “Naruto redemption arc.”
- Key data: “Thousands of percent.”
- Engagement: [1522 L 28 RT 2 QT].
- Cross-references: None.
$NVTS — Position already doubled; further research on 800 VDC opportunity
- Who: @aleabitoreddit
- Thesis: Crowdsourced long idea at 800 VDC now under active review.
- Key data: Position +100 %.
- Engagement: [894 L 39 RT 3 QT].
3. SUPPLY CHAIN & SECTOR MAP
- Memory LTA ecosystem: $MU (producer) → AI accelerator customers; non-LTA buyers squeezed.
- No direct supplier–customer links drawn to $AXTI, $NVTS or $VPG in this batch.
4. RISK & CATALYST WATCH
- No explicit earnings dates or regulatory deadlines in the feed.
- $SIVE geopolitical transfer (Sweden → West) is the only named macro catalyst.
5. SIGNAL TABLE
| Ticker | Handle | Direction | Signal Type | Engagement | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MU | @aleabitoreddit | bullish | confirmation | 3240 | $1 T cap on structural AI memory demand |
| MU | @jukan05 | bullish | confirmation | 596 | LTAs create FOMO; volume locked |
| VPG | @aleabitoreddit | bullish | inflection | 594 | 3× move; ASP revised to ~$750 |
| AXTI | @aleabitoreddit | bullish | confirmation | 1584 | Thousands % move post-WSB ban |
| NVTS | @aleabitoreddit | bullish | early_trend | 981 | Position doubled; 800 VDC research |
| SIVE | @aleabitoreddit | bullish | catalyst | 1310 | Sweden control transfer to West |
| WOLF | @aleabitoreddit | bearish | confirmation | 48 | Avoided at $15 on toxic financials |
### Macro / Recession
- @BickerinBrattle: The recession started last year. [WSJ link on apartment megamerger showing landlords in trouble]
### Crypto / Coin & Exchange Business
- @dampedspring (cross-domain: macro/beta specialist): It's 14BN of market cap for the whole coin. The thing could 3x or halve in the next two months for any reason or no reason at all. The overall hyper liquid exchange business model that it depends has substantial tailwind but competitors that will definitely kill it
### AI IPOs / Insurance Risk
- @BickerinBrattle: The solution is simple. SEC must make certain that all AI IPO have risk language as per their public statements, explicitly state they are fully insured with a commercial insurance stack or declare they are uninsurable. No insurance is available for AI, it is uninsurable.
### Japan / 1989 Bubble Reference
- @BickerinBrattle: The fools are dancing but the bigger fools are watching. Japanese fellows saying this at end of 1989
### Politics / Jan 6
- @BickerinBrattle: Trump must go. "Stand down and stand by" he is a co conspirator. Also note Tarrio et al were convicted of sedition Jan 6 was not an insurrection.
### Media / Iran
- @BickerinBrattle: The corruption in media amazes. Bogged down? They never hsppened ii the first place. [WSJ link on Iran talks]
### Japan Value
- @japandeepvalue1: "its an interesting company... former subsidary of Disco (a giant in Japan), its mgmt launched an MBO from within Disco and then IPO'd to a market that has zero demand for this stuff. its rallied a lot recently, but still tiny (and a few months ago was a $20m mkt cap)... they also own some very interesting technology on TGV (glass substrate precision drilling) as well as glass microfluidics."
- @japandeepvalue1: "Any view on silver diamond? https://www.tecnisco.com/en/en_product/en_metal/en_metal_diamond_composites.html"
- @japandeepvalue1: "seriously these AI generated tweets are getting so bad. they cant even do basic research. https://contents.xj-storage.jp/xcontents/AS93644/625b2315/baac/4ec4/a6c9/b5b4c6ab78b3/140120251003567906.pdf"
### Automation & Headcount Efficiency
- @fundmyfund: "I am hoping their employee curve de-celerates with automation so I don't foresee 1:1 revenue:headcount as they grow. We will see the effects of automation of motors late this year. It would in fact be disappointing to see them have to grow head count at the current pace for every revenue dollar in the next 3-4 years."
### AI Tools & Subscriptions
- @genairoblox: "$20/month chatgpt subscription would have been cheaper than Jony Ive."
No posts found in the last 24 hours from: @kairospraxis, @mike10947310, @owlwealthy, @raisingthebar47, @rjccapital, @rocksover, @semianalysis_, @springofarete, or @stockguru.
Semiconductors & Lithography
- @lithos_graphein: Jensen was right. (posted with 2 images)
- @lithos_graphein: It real. They showed the receipts actually.
- @lithos_graphein: No. AI is not litho-aware yet.
- @lithos_graphein: The substack is depreciated for them. I wish it wasn't bc I love talking abt litho with those guys.
- @lithos_graphein: Yes it was signal processing time is how I read it. Wire path + resistance.
- @lithos_graphein: Immersion scanners are not nukes. Irrelevant analogy.
- @lithos_graphein: More than one way to peel this onion. They actually have scaling options for the transistor and 1x metal too but it's an upend of the PDK. No one has done it yet.
- @lithos_graphein: Haha appreciate you brother.
- @lithos_graphein: Oooooo what for? Lol
- @lithos_graphein: Lol, I'm sure they will dismiss it.
No posts found in the last 24 hours from @teddyokuyama, @teslafan, @twaddle_inc, @wey_how12640, or @xiaomucrypto.
Only @TMTLongShort and @TheValueist posted substantive content. Grouped by naturally emerging themes below. All quotes are verbatim.
China Semiconductors / Activism ($ACMR)
- @TheValueist: "Resharing this analysis of the @KerrisdaleCap $ACMR letter they sent to the board. Worth reading my analysis and their original letter." (Followed by full repost of his April 2026 detailed breakdown of the Kerrisdale/Steamboat letter, including valuation gap analysis: ACMR at ~$3.69B vs. 73.7% stake in ACM Shanghai implying ~$8.0B gross look-through; 54% discount; proposals for HKEX fungible listing; activist anchor commitments up to $100m; A/H premium context; margin/OpEx execution risks.)
Luxury Autos / EVs ($RACE)
- @TheValueist: "$RACE purposely made this as awful as possible so no one buys it. Then they can keep making ICE vehicles. Silence the populace calling for a Ferrari EV." (Quoting SawyerMerritt post on the $640k Ferrari EV design.)
Biotech / Longevity (Gene Editing)
- @TMTLongShort: "You aren’t ready for what comes next. Slowly then all at once. Just don’t die long enough to live forever." (Quoting Eric Topol on NEJM paper: "Marked and durable reduction of LDL cholesterol with one shot PCSK9 gene base editing.")
Geopolitics (Iran)
- @TMTLongShort: "I was wrong about this….twice now 😂" (Quoting his own May 18 post: "Long weekends are for bombing Iran 😉")
AI Abundance
- @TMTLongShort: "the post-AI abundance we were promised 🚀"
Political Midterms / Timelines
- @TMTLongShort: "Yes but more uncertain about timelines now that it’s becoming more apparent that midterms are going to go for Rs"
All other posts were trivial replies or non-substantive. No cross-domain commentary or view shifts detected.
Signal Book
| Ticker | Direction | Source | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|
| RACE | Long | @thevalueist | Ferrari intentionally designed unappealing $640k EV to deter buyers and protect … |
| ACMR | Long | @thevalueist | 54% discount to look-through value ($3.69B mkt cap vs ~$8B gross for 73.7% ACM S… |
| RACE | Long | @thevalueist | Ferrari deliberately made EV unappealing to preserve high-margin ICE production … |
| ACMR | Long | @thevalueist | 54% discount to look-through value of 73.7% ACM Shanghai stake; HK listing + $20… |
| WOLF | Short | @aleabitoreddit | Avoided at $15 on toxic financials |
| SIVE | Long | @aleabitoreddit | Sweden control transfer to West |
| NVTS | Long | @aleabitoreddit | Position doubled; 800 VDC research |
| AXTI | Long | @aleabitoreddit | Thousands % move post-WSB ban |
| VPG | Long | @aleabitoreddit | 3× move; ASP revised to ~$750 |
| MU | Long | @jukan05 | LTAs create FOMO; volume locked |
| MU | Long | @aleabitoreddit | $1 T cap on structural AI memory demand |
| ACMR | Long | @thevalueist | Kerrisdale activist letter pushes HKEX listing/fungible shares to close 54% disc… |
| RACE | Long | @thevalueist | Ferrari intentionally designed $640k EV poorly to suppress demand and preserve h… |
| NVDA | Long | @lithos_graphein | "Jensen was right" + receipts/proof posted, affirming NVIDIA CEO statements on A… |
| ACMR | Long | @thevalueist | Trades at 54% discount to 73.7% ACM Shanghai stake (~$3.69B mkt cap vs ~$8B look… |
Top Movers
No mover data.