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Options Interpretation Guide

How to read dealer positioning, gamma exposure, and volatility structure.

1. Single Indicators

Gamma Regime

+γ PinDealers LONG gamma — they sell rallies and buy dips. Price range-bound, mean-reverting. Breakouts get absorbed.
-γ AccelDealers SHORT gamma — they chase price in both directions. Moves amplified. Rallies and selloffs accelerate.

Net GEX (Gamma Exposure)

>> $1B: Strong pinning. Very hard to break out.
$0-500M: Mild dampening. Moves possible but slower.
Near zero: Neutral. Pure supply/demand.
< $0: Acceleration zone. Dealers chase, amplifying moves.

Gamma Flip Level

The price where net GEX crosses from positive to negative.

Price well above flip (>5%): Safely pinned. Need big catalyst to break.
Price near flip (<3%): Danger zone. Small move could switch regime.
Price below flip: In acceleration territory. Flip becomes resistance.

Call Wall & Put Wall

Call WallStrike with highest call gamma. Acts as resistance — dealers sell as price approaches.
Put WallStrike with highest put gamma. Acts as support — dealers buy as price approaches.
Walls far apart → wide expected range, room to move.
Walls close together → tight range, price pinned between walls.

IV vs HV (Implied vs Realized Volatility)

IV >> HVExpensive: Options overpriced vs actual movement. Sell premium.
IV ≈ HVFair: Options fairly priced. No vol edge — trade direction only.
IV < <HVCheap: Options underpriced. Buy options — you get more movement than you pay for.

Dealer Hedging Scenarios

Scenario
▲ +1%Dealers SELL (dampens rally)Dealers BUY (amplifies rally)
▼ -1%Dealers BUY (cushions drop)Dealers SELL (accelerates drop)

Vanna & Charm

Vanna (+)VIX drops → dealers buy shares → supports price upside
Vanna (-)VIX drops → dealers sell shares → pressures price
Charm (-)Time passes → dealers sell into close → end-of-day pressure
Charm (+)Time passes → dealers buy into close → end-of-day support

2. Combination Signals

Index Combinations (SPY, QQQ, SMH)

+γ + IV cheap + near call wall → Pinned below resistance, options cheap. Buy calls targeting wall break — cheap asymmetric bet.
-γ + IV expensive + below put wall → Accelerating down, options overpriced. Avoid buying puts. Wait for stabilization.
-γ + IV cheap → RARE — acceleration with cheap options. High conviction directional bet.
+γ + near gamma flip + VIX rising → Regime change imminent. Reduce size. If flip breaks, acceleration follows.
+γ + pin risk >70 + 0DTE >30% → Pinned today, volatile close. Avoid last 90 min entries.

Individual Stock Combinations

-γ + breakout signal + IV cheap → BEST CASE: triple alignment. Buy calls or stock. Highest conviction.
+γ + call wall at round number → Strong ceiling. Sell calls at wall or wait for volume break.
-γ + high short interest → Short squeeze candidate. Explosive upside potential.
+γ + put wall support + IV cheap → Floored by dealers, options cheap. Buy calls — structural support.
-γ + charm negative + into close → Accelerating down into close. Expect gap down tomorrow.
IV expensive + earnings soon → Sell premium before earnings. IV will crush post-event.
IV cheap + post-earnings → Vol crushed. Buy options for next catalyst. Cheap entry.

3. Regime Transitions

+γ → -γ (Breaking Down Through Gamma Flip)

Price drops to gamma flip → dealers switch from buying dips to selling dips → selling accelerates → volume spikes → cascades to put wall or beyond. Action: Tighten stops to flip level. If break confirmed, buy puts (acceleration will juice them).

-γ → +γ (Reclaiming Gamma Flip)

Price rallies above flip → dealers switch from chasing to dampening → vol compresses → price stabilizes near call wall. Action: Vol crush coming — don't buy expensive options. Sell premium. Expect range-bound.

4. Quick Reference

1. REGIME
   +γ Pin → calm, dealers absorb moves
     Near call wall? → resistance, sell calls
     Near flip? → watch for breakdown
     IV cheap? → buy options for breakout
   -γ Accel → volatile, dealers amplify
     Trending up? → ride it, dealers buying with you
     Trending down? → don't fight it
     IV cheap? → BEST CASE, buy directional

2. VRP
   Cheap → buy options (underpriced)
   Fair → no vol edge
   Expensive → sell premium

3. WALLS
   Near call wall → resistance (+γ) or breakout target (-γ)
   Near put wall → support (+γ) or breakdown level (-γ)

4. 0DTE
   Pin risk >70 → expect pinning at close
   0DTE >30% → volatile last hour