Post-Close
Post-Close Briefing — 2026-06-08
June 8, 2026Post-Close Briefing — 2026-06-08
Market Regime
QQQ $740.61 — +11.3% vs SMA50 ($665.46) · Risk On ✅
Portfolio
| Strategy | Value | Return | DD | Positions | Cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Pool | $1,947,942 | +1847.9% | -2.0% | 20 | 0% |
| V5.3 | $1,216,834 | +1116.8% | -4.1% | 17 | 0% |
Today's Trades
No trades today.
Breakout Signals
No breakout signals today.
_Section section_options_radar unavailable.
Open Positions
| Ticker | Entry | Current | Gain% | Strategy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 000660.KS | $611.02 | $1677.37 | +174.5% | 4-Pool |
| 0981.HK | $8.21 | $10.48 | +27.6% | 4-Pool |
| 1347.HK | $12.06 | $20.12 | +66.8% | 4-Pool |
| 2513.HK | $102.10 | $183.29 | +79.5% | 4-Pool |
| APLD | $32.19 | $44.15 | +37.2% | 4-Pool |
| APP | $433.51 | $558.87 | +28.9% | 4-Pool |
| AVGO | $402.17 | $418.91 | +4.2% | 4-Pool |
| CIEN | $67.36 | $535.63 | +695.2% | 4-Pool |
| CIFR | $15.42 | $25.55 | +65.7% | 4-Pool |
| GFS | $47.80 | $84.70 | +77.2% | 4-Pool |
| LITE | $62.86 | $945.08 | +1403.5% | 4-Pool |
| LRCX | $246.49 | $336.41 | +36.5% | 4-Pool |
| MDB | $264.69 | $380.18 | +43.6% | 4-Pool |
| MP | $57.36 | $65.46 | +14.1% | 4-Pool |
| MU | $465.66 | $996.00 | +113.9% | 4-Pool |
| NOK | $11.30 | $16.62 | +47.1% | 4-Pool |
| PWR | $317.65 | $719.17 | +126.4% | 4-Pool |
| TER | $107.65 | $406.86 | +277.9% | 4-Pool |
| TSM | $365.90 | $444.92 | +21.6% | 4-Pool |
| WULF | $18.05 | $26.19 | +45.1% | 4-Pool |
| 000660.KS | $611.02 | $1677.37 | +174.5% | V5.3 |
| 005930.KS | $138.98 | $256.57 | +84.6% | V5.3 |
| 0981.HK | $8.21 | $10.48 | +27.6% | V5.3 |
| 9888.HK | $15.68 | $16.72 | +6.6% | V5.3 |
| ASML | $1421.05 | $1757.47 | +23.7% | V5.3 |
| CIEN | $67.36 | $535.63 | +695.2% | V5.3 |
| CIFR | $15.42 | $25.55 | +65.7% | V5.3 |
| CRDO | $119.59 | $217.50 | +81.9% | V5.3 |
| ETN | $400.44 | $418.61 | +4.5% | V5.3 |
| FCX | $49.15 | $69.69 | +41.8% | V5.3 |
| GFS | $47.80 | $84.70 | +77.2% | V5.3 |
| GOOGL | $317.24 | $372.19 | +17.3% | V5.3 |
| LRCX | $246.49 | $336.41 | +36.5% | V5.3 |
| MDB | $264.69 | $380.18 | +43.6% | V5.3 |
| PWR | $317.65 | $719.17 | +126.4% | V5.3 |
| QCOM | $156.00 | $242.57 | +55.5% | V5.3 |
| TSM | $365.90 | $444.92 | +21.6% | V5.3 |
X Alpha — Analyst Chatter
Morning Research Brief
Date: 2026-06-08
1. MACRO & THEMATIC OVERVIEW
Two independent high-signal threads dominate today: (1) Intel’s advanced packaging momentum (18A + EMIB) as a credible foundry alternative, and (2) optical/CPO interconnect build-out for next-gen AI clusters. @jukan05 supplies concrete customer data (Google 3M+ TPUs, NVIDIA EMIB/18A tests); @aleabitoreddit maps the optical side ($SIVE laser ecosystem spanning NVDA, MRVL, AMD, GFS, JBL). Both threads converge on AI infrastructure capex but sit on opposite ends of the stack (logic packaging vs. optical I/O). Institutional flow into low-float names ($SIVE 5.25% JPM stake) is a secondary but reinforcing signal of U.S. capital rotating into the same supply chain.
2. HIGH-CONVICTION IDEAS
$INTC — Packaging inflection now visible
- Who: @jukan05 (semiconductor process/yield specialist)
- Thesis: 18A yields reached ~80% and EMIB 90-95% in recent weeks; Intel is already booked for >3M Google TPUs (2027-28) and is running early NVIDIA Feynman EMIB + 18A tests. IFS turns profitable 2H27.
- Key data: 18A yield 80%, EMIB 90-95%, Google >3M TPUs 2027-28, NVIDIA active 18A/EMIB qualification.
- Catalyst: Google TPU ramp + any NVIDIA design win; timeline 2027-28 volume.
- Engagement: [568L 44RT 12QT] + [492L 66RT 15QT] + [373L 32RT 10QT]
- Contrarian?: Yes — market still prices Intel Foundry as loss-making; yield and customer data contradict that.
- Cross-references: @aleabitoreddit also flags $INTC in U.S. semiconductor basket.
$SIVE — Institutional accumulation + optical AI tailwinds
- Who: @aleabitoreddit (optical interconnect specialist)
- Thesis: JPM disclosed 5.25%+ stake ($135M); U.S. institutions can scale to 25% but are float-constrained by retail. $SIVE sits at multiple AI optical nodes (GFS reference laser, JBL 1.6T LRO, NVDA NVLink, MRVL Celestial, AMD CPO).
- Key data: 5.25% JPM stake, multiple NVDA ecosystem design-ins.
- Catalyst: Further 13F/13D filings + CPO design-win announcements.
- Engagement: [1344L 91RT 13QT] (highest single post)
- Contrarian?: Against low-float retail narrative; U.S. institutions now have synthetic exposure via JPM.
- Cross-references: @aleabitoreddit also lists $MRVL and $ARM as prior high-conviction names in same AI stack.
3. SUPPLY CHAIN & SECTOR MAP
- Optical / CPO chain: $SIVE (laser) → $GFS (reference), $JBL (1.6T LRO pluggables), $NVDA (NVLink), $MRVL (Celestial), $AMD (CPO).
- Packaging / Foundry: Intel (EMIB/18A) packaging Google TPUs (logic die still TSMC) and testing for NVIDIA Feynman. Samsung also in LP40 discussions with NVIDIA.
- Overlap: Both analysts are mapping the same AI interconnect + packaging layer; disagreement is only on Intel’s exact manufacturing scope (packaging vs. full logic).
4. RISK & CATALYST WATCH
- Intel 18A/EMIB yield updates (ongoing weekly)
- Google TPU packaging volume confirmation (2027-28)
- Additional 13F/13D filings on $SIVE
- Samsung-NVIDIA LP40 outcome (timing unspecified)
5. SIGNAL TABLE
| Ticker | Handle | Direction | Signal Type | Engagement | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INTC | @jukan05 | bullish | catalyst | 1313 | 18A 80%, EMIB 90-95%, Google 3M+ TPUs 2027-28, NVIDIA testing |
| INTC | @aleabitoreddit | bullish | early_trend | 1414 | Included in top U.S. semi basket with MRVL/ARM |
| SIVE | @aleabitoreddit | bullish | confirmation | 1565 | JPM 5.25% stake; float-limited institutional buying |
| MRVL | @aleabitoreddit | bullish | confirmation | 1414 | Prior call $87 → $288; still in CPO/NVLink ecosystem |
| ARM | @aleabitoreddit | bullish | confirmation | 1414 | Prior call $134 → $347 |
| AAOI | @aleabitoreddit | bullish | early_trend | 116 | Named as next high-conviction name after MRVL/ARM |
| XFAB | @aleabitoreddit | bullish | early_trend | 78 | European foundry liked for valuation |
No posts found from @_thevalueist, @bearhunter, @bickerinbrattle, @chartmaster, @concodanomics, @dirtcheapstocks, or @discountedtf in the last 24 hours.
Market Selloffs and Technical Recovery
- @bluechipdaily: "Stops (being hit) = opps (buying opportunities). Whether it is in ~2 days or ~2 weeks, nobody really knows yet. Historically, big selloffs lead to bigger rebounds. We saw this with Covid, in 2023, tariffs in 2025, and the war selloff this year. That March selloff gave us new buys in MU and CRWD, which went +63% to +155% in less than 8 weeks. The key for me first is to focus on controlling the downside. On days like Friday, when volatility spikes, I reduce exposure by locking in some gains, taking some stops and reducing my non-core positions. My first priority is to get the downside in check. Once charts start to level out, whether it is one day or 4 weeks, I start to look at what stocks are setting up the best and then I wait for new buy signals. Every selloff leads to recovery ideas, but waiting for the charts to reset is a key step."
Valuation Bubbles and Growth Assumptions
- @dampedspring: "Another version of there isn't enough pie." (replying to detailed breakdown of 10x sales math requiring ~24% annual revenue growth for a decade plus margin sustainability to justify returns after multiple reversion)
Geopolitics Impacting Markets (cross-domain for @AntonLaVay — primary focus volatility/crypto options trading)
- @AntonLaVay: "Yes, If the war ends, the State Commission of Inquiry will eventually begin its investigation into the October 7 attacks."
- @AntonLaVay: "怎么样？是不是预言了？川子，你太在乎股市了，人家伊朗和以色列搞事情就挑能砸你盘的时间搞。上一周他们试过了，周一没起到啥作用。这一周继续来。" (with images; referencing prior prediction that Iran/Israel would time attacks for Sunday/Monday futures open to hit Trump’s stock-market focus)
- @AntonLaVay: "不一定有用 但是很可能每周都来搞" (weekly pattern likely to continue)
- @AntonLaVay: "画线的艺术" and "也是第一次见过交易年K的" (chart-drawing commentary)
No posts found from the other 9 handles in the last 24 hours.
Palantir ($PL)
- @fundmyfund: "$PL deep dive post the big swoon Kaize's largest position - @X has a lot of issues but one positive is you have subject matter experts on almost every material stock in some nook or cranny."
- @fundmyfund: "$PL 1700% move No one would begrudge it if it needed some time to rest and consolidate. Couple of gaps out there if things get dicey but we won't talk about those.... (individual stock gaps need not fill, index gaps have a much higher propensity to do so)"
- @fundmyfund: "2nd peak at that chart it has barely even been in the neighborhood of the 100 day since May 2025. Aside a quick cup of coffee Nov 25. Should be an interesting next week or two for it."
Defense Tech IPOs
- @fundmyfund: "There is no smoke that @anduriltech is IPOing anytime soon. I've been waiting nearly a half decade."
Trading Psychology / Mania
- @fundmyfund: "YOLO traders do the best in mania environments. YOLO traders tend to blow themselves up when the tide pushes out. Build a repeatable system whatever that may be, and as you said there will be weeks or months it does little to nothing. As long as it does something in 2-4 periods a year where most of us make our $$ Good post."
No substantive posts found from @lithos_graphein, @mike10947310, @owlwealthy, @raisingthebar47, @rocksover, @springofarete, or @stockguru in the last 24 hours.
AI Infrastructure & Models
- @SemiAnalysis_: NVIDIA's new Nemotron3 Ultra is defeated by Kimi K2.6 & GLM5.1 on coding tasks like TerminalBench, etc. In order to make the Global Nemotron Coalition training committee train frontier open models, Jensen should invite at least one of the following frontier ai labs to the committee: DeepSeek, MoonshotAI, MiniMax, Qwen, StepFun, zAI GLM.
- @KairosPraxis: TPU optimized for matrix multiplication and Google's models, right?
Network / Telecom Infra Growth
- @KairosPraxis: I think their overall growth rate will be much slower than competitors. But also, by 2028, AI (network segment) will be 60% and mobile infra will be 40%. So, yes, multiple needs to be lower than other top tier players like $CIEN.
Software Accounting (SBC)
- @KairosPraxis: Not financial hijinx but I feel most software companies genuinely don't think of SBC as a real expense
Market Sentiment
- @RJCcapital: don’t panic (with chart)
### AI Infrastructure (Agentic AI / Data Center REITs)
- @TheValueist: "$EQIX $DLR $NVDA $MU Friar shares excellent insights into agentic GAI. Worth watching. https://www.youtube.com/watch?si=A7wfOXwq4ntuC7Ub&v=TjrShuj_Zsg&feature=youtu.be EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The source material is a June 2, 2026 All-In Liquidity 2026 interview titled “OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar: IPO, AI Rivalries, New Device, and Spending $100B+ on Compute.” ... The central investment read-through is that Friar framed agentic AI as a step-function increase in demand for inference capacity... Equinix appears better aligned to the distributed, low-latency, interconnection-heavy inference layer, while Digital Realty appears more directly levered to large-scale powered capacity blocks... The Friar interview is incrementally bullish for EQIX and DLR... WHAT FRIAR SAID ABOUT AGENTIC AI ... Friar described OpenAI’s strategic ambition as owning the “AI layer”... agentic AI... persistent, stateful, context-aware, tool-using workloads... AGENTIC AI AS A COMPUTE DEMAND MULTIPLIER ... inference should be global and much more real-time... POWER, LAND, REGULATION, AND TRUST AS THE REAL SUPPLY CHAIN ... bottlenecks “everywhere”: energy, land, power, regulation... IMPLICATIONS FOR EQUINIX Equinix is the cleaner strategic read-through... 12% monthly recurring revenue growth... 60% of the company’s largest deals were AI-related... IMPLICATIONS FOR DIGITAL REALTY ... $707M of bookings... $1.8B of backlog... RELATIVE READ-THROUGH: EQIX VS DLR ... EQIX appears to have the stronger differentiated moat for agentic AI specifically... DLR appears to have the stronger direct operating leverage to the AI capacity shortage... OPENAI’S STRATEGY IS POSITIVE BUT NOT A PURE DATA CENTER REIT TAILWIND ... multi-CSP strategy... KEY RISKS ... power and permitting... model efficiency... CONCLUSION ... positive for EQIX quality of growth and positive for DLR volume of growth." (posted 22:23 GMT, 7 Jun 2026; new detailed thesis expanding on prior EQIX positioning from 5 Jun)
Signal Book
| Ticker | Direction | Source | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|
| MU | Long | @thevalueist | Tagged in agentic GAI/OpenAI compute-spend thesis (step-function inference growt… |
| NVDA | Long | @thevalueist | Tagged in agentic GAI/OpenAI compute-spend thesis (step-function inference growt… |
| DLR | Long | @thevalueist | Agentic AI capacity demand; $707M bookings, $1.8B backlog, leverage to large-sca… |
| EQIX | Long | @thevalueist | Agentic AI inference demand tailwind; 12% MRR growth, 60% of large deals AI-rela… |
| CIEN | Long | @kairospraxis | Cited as top-tier benchmark; target company multiple must be lower than CIEN due… |
| NVDA | Short | @semianalysis_ | Nemotron3 Ultra defeated by Kimi K2.6 & GLM5.1 on TerminalBench coding tasks |
| MU | Long | @thevalueist | Persistent compute scarcity through 2026-2032 from step-function agentic inferen… |
| NVDA | Long | @thevalueist | Persistent compute scarcity through 2026-2032 from step-function agentic inferen… |
| DLR | Long | @thevalueist | AI power/campus scarcity play; 1.2 GW under construction, $1.8B backlog (+23%), … |
| EQIX | Long | @thevalueist | Agentic inference tailwind via low-latency interconnection & AI hub fabric; Q1 1… |
| PLTR | Long | @fundmyfund | Chart at 2nd peak, barely touched 100-day MA since May 2025 (only quick test Nov… |
| PLTR | Long | @fundmyfund | Kaize's largest position; deep dive after big swoon with 1700% move, allowing co… |
| CIEN | Long | @kairospraxis | Positioned as top-tier optical networking peer; AI network segment to reach 60% … |
| PL | Long | @fundmyfund | Kaize's largest position; deep dive after big swoon + 1700% run with consolidati… |
| CRWD | Long | @bluechipdaily | Big selloffs historically produce rebounds; CRWD was a post-March selloff buy th… |
Top Movers
No mover data.